TA的每日心情 | 开心 2020-10-12 07:13 |
|---|
签到天数: 1 天 [LV.1]炼气
|
晨枫 发表于 2024-10-28 23:26" T% G7 ^4 p- l! O" w
https://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8 ...
2 H5 z9 x8 A& |. o16 Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr sub-
6 D5 d( [6 |5 x; }sonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic mis-
- l6 ]. j( Q; O" gsiles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 super-
) p& e1 R1 i a: i0 C% Vsonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25%
% g8 F4 X" C) }$ |7 i( d( S/ q1 J# H9 finterception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such
v6 f4 H, k, F, F( ` G# Zinterceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to3 m# k4 b j1 J+ B8 t( Z0 K8 R
shoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers,
+ t% i9 N6 b: n8 u3 d# q7 R/ b$ n- tand Germany has 72 launchers in total.
5 d2 a* }8 K) X. c o5 U" ^4 h& B" j$ s1 Q8 M9 |) Y+ `
看不懂这些数据之后的逻辑?KH-22导弹的拦截成功率是0.55%,爱国者系统刚入乌时部署在基辅的那个导弹连曾经被攻击过,也就是说俄罗斯在那次作战中掌握了具体坐标,如果这些超音速导弹拦截成功率如此之低,5-10枚齐射交换一个爱国者系统显然是划算的买卖。但是两年过去了,俄罗斯从未完成这一目标。看起来非常自相矛盾。 |
|