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特朗普的对华安全政策

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  • TA的每日心情
    慵懒
    2020-7-26 05:11
  • 签到天数: 1017 天

    [LV.10]大乘

    楼主
    发表于 2017-1-15 20:26:16 | 显示全部楼层
    你对Tillerson和Mattis的证词解读过度了。美国对是否武力保卫台湾的问题从来都是采取strategic ambiguity,故意不明确表态。那些在听证会上提问的参议员对此都很清楚,因此不会提这种问题,逼他们表态。这并不表明美国准备放弃台湾。
  • TA的每日心情
    慵懒
    2020-7-26 05:11
  • 签到天数: 1017 天

    [LV.10]大乘

    沙发
    发表于 2017-1-16 19:02:46 | 显示全部楼层
    晨枫 发表于 2017-1-15 23:42
    strategic ambiguity与de-emphasize是两回事。蒂勒森和马蒂斯绝对可以提到台海安全是对美国利益的威胁, ...

    Tillerson被问的问题是关于南海,和台湾无关。当然回答的时候也不会提到台湾,没有什么特别的深意。另外我看到的报道,2008年的时候中国威胁西方的石油公司不要同南海的其它国家合作,进行开采。其它的石油公司都退出了,只有Exxon Mobil仍然继续同越南的合作。南海问题可能对Tillerson本人特别重要,要特别强调。
  • TA的每日心情
    慵懒
    2020-7-26 05:11
  • 签到天数: 1017 天

    [LV.10]大乘

    板凳
    发表于 2017-1-17 20:56:00 | 显示全部楼层
    John Bolton calls for rethinking One China policy, and stationing US military soldiers and assets in Taiwan.

    http://www.wsj.com/articles/revi ... a-policy-1484611627

    John Bolton同Trump的关系很近,曾经是国务卿的热门人选。这次Rex Tillerson的Senate confirmation hearing会比较顺利,一个原因就是民主党担心如果把他否掉的话,Trump会任命John Bolton。
  • TA的每日心情
    慵懒
    2020-7-26 05:11
  • 签到天数: 1017 天

    [LV.10]大乘

    地板
    发表于 2017-1-24 10:22:27 | 显示全部楼层
    erha 发表于 2017-1-24 06:59
    关于西方国家石油公司推出南海的消息能不能给个链接?我们公司这些年一直有越南的南海项目。越南是没有独 ...

    关于其它西方石油公司退出南海,我看的报道在这儿,不过就一句,没什么细节。

    Rex Tillerson, the former Exxon chief, didn’t get where he is by being nice to China. When Beijing tried to force his company to abandon a gas exploration project in the waters off Vietnam in 2008, ExxonMobil showed it the finger. BP, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, and several others caved to Chinese pressure. ExxonMobil is still there, drilling on a Vietnamese license in waters also claimed by China.


    http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/01 ... he-south-china-sea/

    关于Exxon Mobil在越南的开采,这里有更详细的报道

    For years ExxonMobil, with Vietnam’s blessing and Tillerson as CEO (who spent over 40 years working for the energy giant until he resigned last month), has been laying the groundwork for a $10 billion natural gas project at the Ca Voi Xanh gas field. Nicknamed “Blue Whale,” the field lies about 80 km (50 miles) off the central coast. That’s well within the Vietnam’s exclusive economic zone, where the nation has sole rights to extract resources in and below the sea, as per the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS).

    Unfortunately, China has other ideas. Blue Whale is in deepwater Block 118. At least part of that block also falls within the dubious “nine-dash line” that China uses to claim nearly the entire sea as its own—a claim that flies in the face of UNCLOS and was shot down by an international tribunal last July. (Beijing vowed to ignore the ruling, despite signing UNCLOS in 1996.)

    The geopolitical risk posed by China’s claim—and its aggressive moves to defend it—has discouraged energy firms from embarking on joint projects with nations around the sea, despite the potentially vast hydrocarbon riches and growing energy needs in the region. In 2011, soon after ExxonMobil announced finding gas in Block 118, Beijing warned foreign energy companies against exploring in disputed areas (meaning nearly the whole sea).

    But ExxonMobil forged ahead with Vietnam on Blue Whale. In May 2014, Hanoi expressed its appreciation to the company for doing so. The appreciation was merited: That same month China had menacingly moved a mobile deepwater rig nearby, sparking deadly riots in Vietnam and creating the potential for military conflict, with dozens of ships from both nations gathering near the rig.

    Enter the US state department. With tensions mounting, secretary of state John Kerry stepped in to soothe both sides. He also called China’s foreign minister to complain that the rig move was “provocative” and “aggressive.” Beijing fired back that Kerry should “speak and act cautiously” and be objective when talking about China.

    Such tensions could soon rise again—possibly involving Block 118 itself, or other nearby blocks (paywall) that ExxonMobil also has exploration rights to. (This month the company signed long-expected agreements with Vietnam officially initiating the Blue Whale project.) If so, the US would be likely to again send its secretary of state to calm the situation and sternly warn China about its aggressive moves.

    But that could mean sending Tillerson, the very man who led ExxonMobil as it laid the groundwork for its projects off Vietnam in the first place. While his experience might help in some ways, the optics would be bad—much to the delight, no doubt, of China’s propaganda department.


    https://qz.com/887819/rex-tiller ... exxonmobil-xom-ceo/

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